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Fantasy Check in

Oct 24, 2012 -- 2:39pm

Kuddos to the man who make the sneaky low ball trade for Chris Johnson. While I won’t say that he is “back” now, his production sure looks good.

I will however say that AP is back. He’s 100% and can now be counted on as a weekly top 5, maybe even top 3 back. Look for his TD numbers to increase over the weeks.

Outside of Larry Fitzgerald, the Cardinal’s offense holds no one worth playing on any kind of regular basis. It’s bad. LSH had a good game last week, but honestly, he’s like 5’7” 170. You can’t count on that production to last. If the bye weeks are killing you, then by all means take a chance, but accept the possibility of a huge letdown.

Steven Jackson scored a TD. That’s pretty big news. But honestly, with the Rams splitting carries between their two dreadlock draped runners, the most production from their offense is from Greg Zuerlein. The kicker, nick named “Legatron”, has already booted five 50 yarders.

The Bill’s RB situation baffles me. But both CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson produce. So continue to play them both as RB2s.

The Lions are bad. Matthew Stafford’s mechanics are making high school coaches vomit, nationwide. Until he gets it together, the Lions will continue to lose. On a side note, Mikel Leshoure looks pretty good. Scoop him up for cheap if you can.

The Raiders we’re advancing as a team after hiring Hue Jackson last year and finishing the year at 8-8. Too bad they canned him and hired a coach that is currently failing at fitting his team into his schemes, instead of building the game plans around his players. This has been disastrous for DMC, and the only player who has had any sort of stability has been Denarius Moore.

Week 5 Fantasy Update

Oct 08, 2012 -- 2:39pm

Fantasy Update.

  • Brian Hartline has set the NFL on fire. Kinda. He’s worth owning after leading the league in yards through 4 weeks, but expecting TD’s might be asking a bit much.
  • The St.Louis Rams might have improved in real life, but in fantasy, with Amendola now hurt, the only player worth playing right now is the Ram D. Steven Jackson should come around at some point though. Right?
  • The Cardinal backfield is a mess. First Beanie and now Ryan Williams out. Pre-season rushing leader William Powell is now staring at opportunity and if you are hurting at RB, you should take a chance.
  • Jamaal Charles is alive and kicking, even if his team sucks. Matt Cassel getting hurt might have been the best thing that ever happened for the Chiefs. The Golden boy, Brady Quinn took the reins this week and looks to hold them for the rest of the year.
  • If you drafted AP as he slipped down the boards, give yourself a high five. Except don’t. That’s dumb.
  • Victor Cruz is now a top-3 fantasy WR.
  • Michael Vick, please, just hold onto the ball.
  • Rashard Mendenhall looked great coming back from injury. Scoop him up if he hasn’t been already.
  • RG3 and Andrew Luck are both now legitimate fantasy starts every week. Reggie Wayne is currently experiencing the best year of his career.
  • Speaking of revitalized careers, Tony Gonzales is the #1 fantasy TE through 5 weeks. I did not see that coming.
  • Cam Newton is going through a HUGE sophomore slump.
  • Chris Johnson might be the most hated man in fantasy. There is just no effort in his game.
  • Even if Peyton Manning isn’t winning every game, he is still a top 5 fantasy QB.
  • The current Buffalo Bill’s backfield is the most confusing thing I have ever experienced. I would continue to start CJ Spiller.

 

Fantasy Realties Through Week 2.

Sep 19, 2012 -- 12:45pm

·      RG3 is the real deal. He has a real shot to lead the QB position in points this year. I applaud those of you who took the chance on him.

·      AP might not be 100% yet, but he is back and effective. Play him just as you would a first round RB.

·      Cam might be slowed down after teams now have tape on him, but he still can’t be stopped. He’ll end up with a Top 5 QB finish again.

·      Chris Johnson is killing a lot of people out there, and it doesn’t look to get any better anytime soon. I won’t ever blame you for playing him, but I would suggest benching him until he returns to form. If he ever does.

·      A guy in one of my leagues started the year with absolutely horrible RBs, James Starks and Donald Brown, but he just happened to grab CJ Spiller with one of his mid round picks. Steal of the year. Look for CJ to carry the load even when Fred Jackson returns. He is fresh and looks unstoppable.

·      Another guy that has surprised some folks this year is Reggie Bush, who had a monster game against the Raiders last week. The Raiders by the way are the worst tackling team in the league right now. I just don’t think Reggie can keep this current pace up, but he is safe to start on a weekly basis as a RB2 for the time being.

·      The Raiders make me sick. Hue Jackson had them so close to the playoffs, McFadden was running through everyone and Carson was connecting deep. A coaching change leaves DMC with a 2.0 yards per carry average and Carson is a bad fit for the new short pass offense. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Raiders are picking first in April next year.

·      Shonn Greene is bad.

·      The Chiefs back field is still a mystery. Jamaal Charles hasn’t looked 100% and the Chiefs defense has gotten burned too quickly for the Chiefs to continue with the ground game. I avoided this situation at drafttime and I’m glad I did.

·      The Seahawks have a top-3 defense in the league. Seriously, I’m starting to bench players who have that match up.

·      Arian Foster is a slam dunk. Don’t ever bench him. Ever.

·      Kevin Kolb doesn’t like throwing the ball to Larry Fitzgerald. It’s weird. But you can’t argue with 2-0.

·      The Rams look energized this year, with a surprisingly talented defense.

·      The NFL is still largely unpredictable, and I love it. So do you.

Top 10 Fantasy RBs for 2012

Aug 29, 2012 -- 3:01am

I can’t pretend to be a fantasy football expert. As much I want to be, I’m just a football starved fan who happens to spend his free time pondering this year’s sleeper running back. All of his free time.
I’ve played this beautiful thing called fantasy football half of my life, and these entries are simply my advice. I don’t claim these to be fact. I will sometimes be wrong, and while I will most likely place the blame of the wrongness on some thing aside from myself, it happens. Rarely. 

Disclaimer: A few weeks ago Ryan Matthews would have made this list easily. His stock was sky high and fantasy experts across America were drinking the collective koolaid. (Don’t lie, you were too.) But back in week one of the preseason, during his first and only carry, poor little Ryan broke his collarbone and it looks like he’s gonna be sitting out for a few weeks. He will be back eventually, and the injury isn't the type that will linger once he’s back, but clavicle injuries force you to basically do nothing during the recovery period. A month or more of lying around won't help his conditioning any and makes his early season outlook grim. Current reports suggest that he will be out until at least week one, and if you are deathly ill at RB, and I mean desperately gasping for simply anyone at the position, Ronnie Brown should be good for about 15 touches a game until Ryan gets back.

Trent Richardson is another name that was under consideration, but after a knee scope was announced, he fell straight off the list. The rookie runner has promise, but I would rather someone else take the chance on what might be the Brown’s only legitimate offensive weapon this year.
 

#1- Arian Foster. Arian should end as the unanimous #1 pick. The man is the perfect running back for Coach Gary Kubiak’s system, and he is slump-proof. He had 1,800 total yards last year…in 13 games. 25-year-old bell cows with 2 straight 600 yard receiving years don’t come around too often. Take him whenever possible, and make sure to grab fantasy’s #1 handcuff, Ben Tate while you’re at it.
 

#2 – Ray Rice. While I do love Arian, I consider Ray Rice the safest pick in all of fantasy. The best fullback in the game leads the way for him, there is literally no talent behind him, and the defense of the Ravens always keep the team in a position to run the ball. The man even threw a TD last year. The downside is that over the last 3 season, with playoffs included, he has averaged 400-plus touches a year. That’s a lot of wear and tear, and I would keep that in mind in keeper leagues, but for this year, the 25-year-old should pump out another top 5 finish. 
 

#3 – LeSean McCoy. 20 touchdowns won’t happen again, but there’s no denying that McCoy is a game changer who is here to stay. The comparisons to Barry Sanders are starting to become nauseating, but even the casual fan can see why commentators can’t shut up about it. He might be the best receiving RB in the game today and he is a center piece in one of the league’s most explosive offenses.
 

#4 – Darren McFadden. If you’re the gambling type, Run DMC is the guy for you. But if you want guaranteed points all year long, you might as well just keep looking down the list. In my opinion, McFadden is the most talented back with the pigskin when healthy. But that is the problem. He hasn’t played 16 games yet in his career. There is true scoring champion potential here, but you must constantly beware injury, and with no clear cut hand cuff, McFadden is the ultimate boom or bust option this year.
 

#5 – Chris Johnson. 2,509 total yards, 16 total touchdowns. And to think, it was just 2 years ago. CJwhateverK fell in a huge slump last year, but even at his worst he showed he could at least still exploit bad run defenses. The bottom line is that he just didn’t score TD’s last year. Last year he scored just 4 times, his other 3 years had TD numbers of 10, 16, and 12. He did have a career low in total yards, but with 1,465 of them, and any back in the league would take that as a career low. The speedster is paid, focused, and poised for a top 5 finish, don’t sweat at all if you are left with him after Arian, Ray, and LeSean fly off the board.
 

#6 – Matt Forte. Matty Forte is both an interesting and frustrating player. After 12 weeks last year, he was leading the league with nearly 1,500 total yards, but just 4 TDs. It seemed that he had evolved into an elite half back and while a late season knee-sprain held him out of the last four games, it’s a non-issue now. The problem is touchdowns. They have never really been Matt’s forte. (see what I did there?) and the addition of redzone dynamo Michael Bush doesn’t make matters any better. But if you are one of those pattern guys, his career TD total numbers of 12,4,9,4 seem to indicate that another decent TD year is coming. But it most likely means literally nothing; just take it as random info. Forte should be a lock for solid yardage but will most likely lack the TDs.
 

#7 – Marshawn Lynch. Now that it looks like he is safe from suspension, Beastmode can safely be drafted. He did have his big year in the “ooh so important” contract year, but I don’t think that will change his output very much. Reports have him in shape and on the move in practice, and we all know that Pete Carroll will feed the beast. His career workload hasn’t been too much, as he has never topped 285 carries and while he isn’t known too much for his receiving ability, he did catch 47 balls with Buffalo in 08’. With check down machine Matt Flynn in town, look for Marshawn to be more involved in the passing game as well. His yardage won’t blow anyone away, but he is a redzone champion and offers steady and consistent scoring.

#8 – Maurice Jones-Drew. Not even a hold out could keep Pocket Hercules off of this list. MJD has been one of the most consistent RBs in fantasy over the last 7 years. If his holdout situation isn’t resolved by your league’s draft time, he is going to fall, and some brave soul is going to reach out and either ruin his team, or make a beautiful decision. It will depend completely on your league when he goes, but the reigning rushing champ won’t fall too far. If he is there late second round I would pounce. An MJD that is in camp and ready to go would be number 4 on this list.

 #9 – Jamaal Charles. He has a career per carry average of 6.1 yards. An ACL tear ended his season in week one last year, and fantasy football enthusiasts across the country are wondering if he will come back the same. After watching a few preseason games, I believe he will be. But new addition Peyton Hillis is sure to take all goal-line carries and a chunk of 3rd downs as well. JC has a revamped O-line in front of him that should rank in the top 5 this year and he should also push 40 receptions again. Simply put, if he is healthy, his yards will be plenty, but his touchdowns may be sparse. Grab Hillis if you take the chance on JC, if Charles were to reinjure himself, Hillis would be a low end RB1.

#10 – Steven Jackson. That’s right, the man who has averaged only 6 TD’s a year the last 5 years. I see the Ram’s offense finally getting back on track under Jeff Fisher and offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer. It is no secret that the Rams love to run Steven into the ground every year, usually for inconsistent mixed results, but this year seems different. Jeff Fisher’s team have always focused on running the ball and protecting the QB. One way that Sammy Bradford has learned to protect his self is checking down. Look for S-Jax to catch 50 balls this year while receiving 20 carries a game.
 

-Casey Floyd

Recent Arrests Make for Murky Fantasy Situations

Jul 26, 2012 -- 5:18pm

I can’t pretend to be a fantasy football expert. As much I want to be, I’m just a football starved fan who happens to spend his free time pondering this year’s sleeper running back. All of his free time.
I’ve played this beautiful thing called fantasy football half of my life, and these entries are simply my advice. I don’t claim these to be fact. I will sometimes be wrong, and while I will most likely place the blame of the wrongness on some thing aside from myself, it happens. Rarely. 

 

A string of offseason arrests has put a black eye on the NFL and sucker punched many owners around the league who partook in early fantasy leagues. 3 of these outlaws in particular are big names in fantasy circles this year.

Dez Bryant- Most people have now heard about Dez slapping his mother, my personal favorite part of the story is him leaving his mother’s house in a car whose lisence plate read “BAILME.” Most law caunsious type people seem to think that Dez will get off and his legal troubles will be minimal, but he could still face the Roger Goodell-hammer because of his previous run ins with the law. I don’t think he would face more than a one game suspension, at most, but in the event that a lengthy suspension does come down, I would drop him down in my rankings below recivers like Jeremy Maclin and Stevie Johnson. While a suspension for Dez seems to make Miles Austin a much more valueable player, he would also attract much more attention on the field. I see Jason Witten as the man would would most benefit from Dez missing time.

Marshawn Lynch– Weather it’s driving a golfcart on a football field,  running over a lady dancing in the street, or now driving under the influence, it’s pretty safe to say that Beast Mode should be avoided around vehicles. Marshawn, as opposed to Dez, has already faced league suspension before, missing 3 games in 2009. Meaning his Goodell leash is much shorter. A multigame suspension is a possibility, and depending on length, could drop the Skittle man below other risky runners like Michael Turner or Reggie Bush. Rookie Robert Turbin would be in line to receive the lion’s share of carries and would be a decent, Toby Gerhart-esqe player to target. If your league rewards for return yardage, Leon Washington would also be a decent option. 

Kenny Britt- I had such high hopes for little Kenneth last year, and he was living up to them until a torn ACL ended his season in week 3. He had  put up 270 yards and 3 TDs coming into that game. I came into this year thinking he could heal, and be a receiver that falls to me, and I would snatch him up with not a moment of hesitation. But then he had to go and pull a Lohan. He’s had 7 run-ins with the law since being drafted, and will almost certainly receive a suspension, giving Baylor rookie WR, Kendall Wright, the ability to step right in and contribute. It’s almost like Kendall has a supernatural ability to be in the right place at the Wright time. But much to my chagrin, Kendall will still not be much more than a late round flier. Nate Washington and Jared Cook stand to gain from  any Britt absence in an offence looking to get back to the ground game.

 

Fantasy Top 10’s

Jul 18, 2012 -- 1:34pm

I can’t pretend to be a fantasy football expert. As much I want to be, I’m just a football starved fan who happens to spend his free time pondering this year’s sleeper running back. All of his free time.
I’ve played this beautiful thing called fantasy football half of my life, and these entries are simply my advice. I don’t claim these to be fact.

I will sometimes be wrong, and while I will most likely place the blame of the wrongness on some thing aside from myself, it happens. Rarely.  
That being said, here is my top 10 list of QBs for this year.
Abide by this list or prepare to lose.

 

 

Fantasy Top 10’s
Quarter Backs

 

1. Aaron Rodgers- You could park an 84’ Cadillac in the space between Aaron Rodgers and QB #2. Two of the last three years have ended with Discount Double Check at first in fantasy points scored, the other year he finished second. His weapons are all back, and a second year building chemistry with Jermichael Finley will help to put up more of the same filthy numbers.

 

2. Tom Brady- 5,000 yards, 39 TDs last year, with basically one competent wide receiver. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels is back reminding folks of the 16-0 year in which Brady threw for 50 touchdowns. The other thing missing since that year? A playmaking wideout. Brandon Lloyd should fill in nicely.

 

3. Mike Vick- No player in the NFL possesses the upside that The Michael Vick experience does. If the man could simply piece together a healthy season, we could witness a fantasy masterpiece. WR Jeremy Maclin is a year removed from a deathly illness and poised for a breakout, while Desean Jackson finally got paid and his mind back on the game.

 

4. Matthew Stafford- The 5th ever player to throw for 5,000 yards just turned 24-years-old. When a team gets a taste of the playoffs, they get hungry for more. And a machine like Calvin Johnson makes it pretty damn easy to capitalize on that hunger. Titus Young looks to offset on Megatron’s double teams by going deep, and rookie WR Ryan Broyles is there to work the slot. Detroit also boasts two of the most under rated Tight Ends in the game in Brandon Pettigrew and Tony Scheffler.

 

5. Drew Brees- One of the usually more safe picks in all of fantasyland looks a little shakier after an extended hold out paired with head coach Sean Payton out for the year. But the Saint’s offense really started looking video game-esque when Offensive Coordinator Pete Carmichael took over. Coach Pete will be back this year and so will most of Brees’ weapons. Jimmy Graham is unstoppable, and in the red zone, Brees might as well be throwing to Dwight Howard. Darren Sproles, Marques Colston, Devery Henderson and Lance Moore, round out an explosive offense.

 

6. Matt Ryan- Roddy White and Julio Jones might emerge as the best one-two punch in football this year, and Matty Ice will love new OC Dirk Koetter’s vertical offense. The whole world knows that Michael Turner is about to break down and less carries for the Burner, means more opportunity for Mr. Ryan.

 

7. Cam Newton- Cam brought together the best rookie season any has ever seen.       It won’t happen again. With DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart, and the bowling ball himself, Mike Tolbert in the fold, Cam Newton won’t be seeing nearly as many goal line carries. But if Cam-Cam can come close to matching his 4,000 passing yards while improving on his TD total, he will still be a very productive fantasy option.

 

8. Peyton Manning- I feel sinister for featuring Peyton this low on the list. But no one knows what we’re going to see out of him. He could come out and be the Manning of old, and make this list look dumb. Or he could look terrible and get hurt, and make this list look dumb. The weapons are there for him, the offensive line is better than most, and no one will work harder than Peyton to get back to this game. But it all will ride on his health. This is the exact definition of a feast or famine pick, and I will be avoiding it.

 

9.Philip Rivers- The off year for P.Riv last season was a bit over blown, 4,600 yards with 27 TDs is solid, but throwing 20 picks was his downfall. The departure of Vincent Jackson looks like it should hurt, but in 2010, when Jackson was watching from home, holding out for the cash, Philip had his best season. New addition Robert Meachem should help out along side Malcom Floyd, Vincent Brown and Antonio Gates.

 

10. Eli Manning- It’s like he finally got it last year. But will this turn out to be another case of the career year hang over? Even after Mario Manningham’s departure, his weapons are upgraded. Hakeem Nicks has looked like a rival to Calvin Johnson, and should continue to achieve, even if a foot injury slows him down. Victor Cruz was a surprise that is here to stay, new addition Reuben Randle will be an impact rookie, and new tight end Martellus Bennett has a load of potential.

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